Quote:
Originally Posted by peter12
Polls have increasingly fallen short of actual political outcomes. Based on recent experience in Scotland, GOP primaries, Brexit, the outlier turned out to be the reality.
I still don't think anyone in here really understands the mindset of the Trump voter.
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Actually the GOP primaries the polling was quite accurate. It had trump ahead from the start and was correct within error. Pundits kept discounting his polling. Trump through the primaries also did not out perform his polling do their is no shy trump affect at least at the primary level.
538 has a good discussion in their trump mea culpa.