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Old 08-04-2016, 11:21 AM   #42
octothorp
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Originally Posted by Tinordi View Post
Barring Trump stepping down this race is going to be all about the down ballot. Democrats' biggest risk right now is complacency. I'm sure they'd want to see a tighter poling environment to motivate turnout and decisively take back the Senate. Meanwhile Republicans are going to simply abandon Trump and divert all resources to Senate seats under threat.

If everything goes right you could see a landslide Hillary victory, Senate majority and three Supreme Court Justices appointed within four years which will change the axes of US federal politics for generations.
Yeah, Senate is going to be interesting, especially in seeing how the repurcussions of the Federal Election are. Even in the last couple weeks, there seems to be some movement at the senate level toward the Democrats... Hassan has gone from +3 to +10 in New Hampshire. Cortez Mastro went from -9 to -2 in just the last week. Toomey and McGinty seem back and forth, and Feingold now seems like a solid pick-up.

If I was a Republican, the thing that would really worry me is that if Trump knows he's going to lose, he could go after everyone, including Republican senate candidates who have mostly stayed at arms' length from him. Which is going to drive his own Trump-first supporters away from supporting down-ballot Republicans and create a very messy scene. The whole 'rigged system' talk may not help senate candidates either.
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