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GGG · 07-31-2016, 10:35 AM

I really like 538s 3 model way of predicting the election. Through the Conventions the polls plus model has stayed at 60/40 as it accounts for 4% bumps from the conventions. Whereas the Now cast and polls only models have swung wildly.

So I generally look at the 538 polls plus model as an accurate state of the race and probably about a month out I will switch to their polls only forecast.

07-31-2016, 10:35 AM	#2
GGG Franchise Player Join Date: Aug 2008 Location: California Exp:	I really like 538s 3 model way of predicting the election. Through the Conventions the polls plus model has stayed at 60/40 as it accounts for 4% bumps from the conventions. Whereas the Now cast and polls only models have swung wildly. So I generally look at the 538 polls plus model as an accurate state of the race and probably about a month out I will switch to their polls only forecast.