Quote:
Originally Posted by JiriHrdina
I don't think either is true, you are just assuming and therefore failing to understand the thought process people are going through in this process - which is different for everyone.
We all know that the vast majority of these players will not be NHLers and I don't see anyone saying otherwise.
The mental exercise everyone does here, to some extent, basically comes down to evaluating the upside and likelihood of a player becoming an NHL, and the relative waiting for those two core elements.
If you give likelihood more weight then yes - rank a guy like Hathaway higher. But for others, that is not the way they are approaching this. I view Hathaway as a replacement level player in the NHL, and therefore him making it or not, is really unimportant. Therefore I will rank a player ahead of him like Dube, who has far more upside, though less chance of making the NHL based on where he is in his career.
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I simply think that a player who has shown that he has the skill to play 4th line in the NHL has shown more high end potential than anyone not dominating in Juniors or the AHL or the NCAA.