Quote:
Originally Posted by Oling_Roachinen
That's all well and good, but you're still using Monahan's 19 year old season directly after being drafted when he put up 34 points in your comparison over the last three years. I don't think Monahan is that 34 point player.
Monahan repeated his success after playing with Hudler and Gaudreau to playing Gaudreau and whatever scrub was on his other wing. That was a good indicator that he's a "60 point player" at minimum, seeing as he's done it twice.
Schenn didn't quite put up 60 points despite playing with Giroux and Simmonds who both did. There's the chance that this was his career year, playing with two very good players. As you're somewhat arguing, it's not often that players improve their numbers as 24 year olds, but Schenn did. If he reverts back to that 20-25-45 player he had been for the previous three years, then the contract doesn't look so hot.
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How many of Monahan's 60 pts came from playing with Gaudreau? Before Gaudreau he was a 34 pt guy.
In Monahan's best year he was 3rd in scoring behind Hudler and Gaudreau.
Totally agree that if Schenn falls back to 40-45 pts like he was for 2 seasons where he was playing on the Briere and then Lecavalier lines where they were well past their primes and he outscored them then he will be over paid.
If he stays at 60pt he will be fairly paid.
If he moves up to 70-80 pts he will be a bargain, value contract.
At 40-45 pts he would be overpaid by the 600k he is getting more than Brouwer, who has been signed as a 40-45 pts 200 hit player.