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Originally Posted by nfotiu
I get what you are saying. Ohio, Michigan and PA are kind of wild cards this time around. They have lots of blue collar democrats who could be seduced by Trump's sort of pro labor platform. The southern Republicans in NC, SC and Georgia probably don't see much to like in a vulgar, not-really-christian, dumbass.
My point is that Trump as a Republican is capable of flipping both red and blue states and maybe even some dark red or dark blue states. Virginia follows national trends closely because it has a pretty diverse population that represents a lot of demographics (Southerners, northerners, conservatives, liberals, black, white, Hispanic, educated urban, rural,etc.) So it's a nice state to shore up if a lot of the other states are going to be unpredictable.
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Fair points. In that regard, Ohio is a much more likely Trump "pickup," for demographic reasons--and I can foresee an electoral college map where, say, Clinton loses Ohio but holds Virginia and Florida, and still wins the election.
Conversely, it is much harder to get Trump to 270 without Florida, even if he carries Ohio.