[octothorp]

Originally Posted by Flashpoint

It isn't close. The media is getting great ratings from Trump, so it's in their interest to prop him up, but the reality is that it was over long ago.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/

Umm, you do realize the page you're linking to shows Trump winning in nearly 2 out of 5 times? Nate Silver was pointing out today that this is about what Kerry's lead was. Historically, numbers can still move a lot in either direction. The hope is that Trump has given himself a ceiling in the mid 40s, but 538s numbers don't capture that.