Personally I look at prospects and see if they meet a checklist.
1 - Do they have the physical attributes to play in the NHL? Do they have the size? Do they have a frame that will them to take the abuse of the pro game?
2 - Do they have the smarts to play in the NHL? Do they think the game well or do they display a high level of play that indicates they do things instinctively? The latter usually indicates a special player.
3 - Do they do anything exceptionally? Average skills doesn't get you a job in the toughest league in the world. You need to do something that makes you standout.
4 - Does the player display drive and character? The difference between being a pro and an elite player is usually not just talent alone, it is drive and determination. How do these guys deal with adversity? Do they pick their team up when they are down? Do they show leadership, whether intentionally or unintentionally?
5 - How has the development curve been? I like to see these players show some growth and improvement in weak areas in their games. Has a player shown growth?
I like players that check these boxes because the guys that have made it to the show more often than not display all of these qualities. There are exceptions along the way, but usually only because someone has or does something that is exceptional that allows them to get past one of these five hurdles. A player needs to have the tools to play in the NHL. Without them there isn't much chance.
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