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Originally Posted by GranteedEV
Bennett? What suggests to you Toffoli returns anything of the order of Sam Bennett. Jankowski, Kylington, or Andersson maybe.
what did Ryan O'Rielly cost? Zadorov, Grigorenko, and a high second.
what did Brandon Saad cost? Dano, Anisimov, and some spare parts.
what did Dougie Hamilton cost? 15, 45, 51 overall.
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Brandon Saad is a winger, not a centre, and had only one 23-goal season to his credit at the time of that trade.
Hamiton was traded by an idiot, is believed to have wanted out (thus forcing Boston's hand), and it is very likely that we got him in part due to a desire to put one over on Chiarelli.
Ryan O'Reilly is your best comparison. And he was dealt for two guys drafted in the first round and a second rounder (plus spare parts both ways). This for a guy who already held-out once.
In terms of Toffoli, Lombardi is no amateur. He knows the value of his player, and unlike the Hamilton and O'Reilly situations, isn't in a spot where the relationship is damaged. So yeah, based on what O'Reilly got, I would say Bennett and a first would be a good comparable.
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To the other part of your argument - that Toffoli would be paid Sean Monahan dollars - that's a reasonable salary for a dominant forward over the grand portion of his prime. The difference is now you're looking to fill small holes cheap. I would not prefer Brouwer+Frolik at 8.5M for Toffoli at 6.5M or Kessel at 6.8. Even if that leaves you short a forward quantity-wise. YMMV.
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Remember, it's Brouwer + Frolik for $8.5m or Toffoli - Bennett - First rounder for $6.5 million. You can't just speak of opportunity cost and then just pretend certain losses won't exist with your preferred scenario.