It's all way premature. Matt Murray was barely on anybody's radar just a few months ago and could easily not be 6 months from now. This angst is all based on a couple of good months (weeks really) by Murray. The idea of him being a can't miss/building block type player is so far from a lock that if I was Pittsburgh I wouldn't be in any hurry to make a pre-emptive move for something that might not even be an issue a year from now. For Vegas, the normally slotted non-protected Penguin, another solid veteran, plus a couple of prospects could easily be as enticing for a team starting from scratch if Pittsburgh wants to keep Murray that much. If he really becomes an elite full-time goalie next season and the Penguins feel they just have to keep him, then deal with Fleury then. If Vegas won't deal, the Penguins aren't going to be the only team over the barrel with protection problems, there will be other teams willing to get creative at the last minute to avoid losing assets for nothing who they can maneuver with. It's not that big of a gamble.
I feel similarly about the difference between 3oa and 6oa in the amateur draft. I wouldn't give up much of anything to move up 3 spots. Three years from now, when it matters, this year's supposed order of available talent will look like a joke compared to how the players actually turn out. That's the closest thing to a guarantee you'll get out of any sports draft. Stay at 6, keep your existing assets and make the best choice you can make, it's almost 50-50 to turn out better than the #3 pick anyway.
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