Quote:
Originally Posted by rubecube
And this is why I think Kenney is a poor choice for the PCs. He's not going to capture the left votes that the party has bled and he'll end up splitting the right with the WRP.
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Most of the "left votes" came from the PC camp to begin with, so I think you overestimate low loyal many of the voters would be to the "progressive" cause. Especially if it is still the case in 2019 that NDP programs are being panned for costing jobs and economic growth.
What Kenney is, is the type of leader who can hold the PCs current base and recapture Wildrose supporters. Especially if the younger party's current affairs turns into an actual split or rebellion. Even without recapturing much of anything from the NDP's current polling, he would need only half of Wildrose's support to pull the PCs up to the 38% range, and not far from majority territory.
Kenney may not be the best choice, but he isn't the worst, nor even near the bottom.