3rd Overall Picks in last 20 Years
2015 Dylan Strome
2014 Leon Draisaitl
2013 Jonathan Drouin
2012 Alex Galchenyuk
2011 Jonathan Huberdeau
2010 Erik Gudbranson
2009 Matt Duchene
2008 Zach Bogosian
2007 Kyle Turris
2006 Jonathan Toews
2005 Jack Johnson
2004 Cam Barker
2003 Nathan Horton
2002 Jay Bouwmeester
2001 Alexandr Svitov
2000 Marian Gaborik
1999 Henrik Sedin
1998 Brad Stuart
1997 Olli Jokinen
1996 J.P. Dumont
6th Overall Picks in last 20 Years
2015 Pavel Zacha
2014 Jake Virtanen
2013 Sean Monahan
2012 Hampus Lindholm
2011 Mika Zibanejad
2010 Brett Connolly
2009 Oliver Ekman-Larsson
2008 Nikita Filatov
2007 Sam Gagner
2006 Derick Brassard
2005 Gilbert Brule
2004 Al Montoya
2003 Milan Michalek
2002 Scottie Upshall
2001 Mikko Koivu
2000 Scott Hartnell
1999 Brian Finley
1998 Rico Fata
1997 Daniel Tkaczuk
1996 Boyd Devereaux
Players in the red are debatebly "busts".
Busts:
3rd Overall:2
6th Overall: 7
Players in the green are superstars.
Superstars:
3rd Overall: 4
6th Overall: 1
Total Points:
3rd Overall: 6357
6th Overall: 4285
So the 6th pick has more than triple the chance of being a bust. The 3rd overall pick has more than triple the chance of being a superstar. The 3rd overall picks have 50% more points. Based on history, it's a much, much better pick. It's not even remotely close in any aspect. As long as it doesn't cost a main member of our young core, moving up is definitely worth it. Backlund, Frolik, Colborne, any pick, any non-Gillies prospect, doesn't matter. Get'er done.
This year has a definite top 3, and a clear ledge after 5. This year is as good as any if moving up is possible.
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