I don't think it's a talent gap and it's likely why Martin is stuck.
The issue in predictability is that it's becoming clear who is important. I don't think any Sci fi / fantasy epic has had a conclusion as satisfying as the build up.
Foundation, dark tower, LoTR, Rama, Harry Potter, lost, etc.
Once a show turns the corner from world expansion to plot conclusion it's always less satisfying.
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