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Originally Posted by 1qqaaz
Good stuff. We will ever see a FDW mock draft?
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Sure if you tell me who EDM is gonna trade #4 to I'll get right on it
I do think there's such a high probability of EDM trading the pick outright in a deal for a defenceman or trading down that it presents a real problem for doing a serious mock draft. Since I can't predict where they might trade the pick outright to for the purposes of a mock draft I'll have to assume they either trade down or stay at 4.
IMO from listening to Chiarelli interviews I believe there's a high likelihood of them trading down. He's talked about Tkachuk, Dubois, Brown and 3-4 defenders. He's talked about the players from 4-9 being really good players. I believe he would trade down further than that if an NHL defenceman is in the deal but predicting that is near impossible.
Who would be interested in trading up with the Oil? Who would pay the price the Oilers would be asking?
#9 - MTL - I think they'd be interested in moving up but I don't think they have the picks to make it happen
#8 - BUF - BUF has high end talent, they have powerforwards, they have pure skill. If anything they could use a top pairing LHD to go with Ristolainen. I don't think they have the urgency to trade up and pay what EDM would want. They can sit at #8 and grab a dman or Nylander if he slips.
#7 - ARI has the assets to move up as they have an extra 1st and a high 2nd but do they need to move up? Arguably their biggest need is on defence. Do they want one of the powerforwards badly enough to trade up or should they sit at #7 and grab one of the top couple dmen or Nylander? Seems reasonable just to stay there IMO
#6 - CGY has the picks to move up with three 2nds and picks in every round. They could be content to sit there and still get a great prospect. But they also could be motivated to move up to #4 and grab their favorite powerforward who fits their immediate and long terms needs so well. I don't think they're motivated enough to pay a huge overpayment. As such I think the shrewd Treliving wouldn't offer much more than a late 2nd and a 4th. That may be the best offer EDM gets
#5 - VAN - I don't see any motivation for them to deal up one spot. I think it more likely they move down but I think they'll just stay at 5
So on to the mock draft!
#1 - TOR - Matthews (C) - You take franchise centres when they are available.
#2 - WPG - Laine (W) - His goal scoring prowess is too hard to turn down. Likely a future superstar
#3 - CBJ - Puljujarvi (RW) - BPA. They have the assets to trade for a center if need be
EDM trades #4 to CGY for picks #6, a late 2nd and a 4th
#4 - CGY - Tkachuk (LW) - Flames love his skill, strength and jam around the net. A perfect fit with Monahan and Johnny or with Bennett
#5 - VAN - Dubois (F) - Canucks get a complete package in Dubois who can play all 3 forward positions and plays with skill and power
#6 - EDM - Sergachev (D) - Chiarelli finds the dman market is stiffer than he thought. They decide they have to draft a top pairing dman and favor the offensive potential of Sergachev with his skill, skating, size combination. They badly need his powerplay quarterback upside and ability to play in all situations
#7 ARI - Juolevi (D) - They have a wealth of young talent up front with the top two centres in the OHL (Strome and Dvorak) the highest scorer in the Q (Garland) and another top prospect at RW (Fischer) plus young Domi and Duclair. So they go D right? Makes a ton of sense. Juolevi or Chychrun? Who knows who they favor. I'll guess Juolevi.
#8 - BUF - Nylander (W) - They wouldn't have minded a defenceman but they're happy to go BPA and they had Nylander higher than 8th and think his skill and hockey sense will pair nicely with Eichel, Reinhart, O'Reilly and Kane up front
#9 - MTL - Brown (C) - They love his size, skill, skating combo and think he could make a lethal 1-2 punch with Galchenyuk. They were surprised he was still there.
#10 - COL - Chychrun (D) - They're surprised he's still there. They happily grab him and hope he develops into that franchise dmen they need.
#11 - NJ - Jost (C/W) - NJ has really missed Parise. Jost could be that driving forward that they've missed since Parise left
...to be continued. I'll edit this post later to finish it off.