Quote:
Originally Posted by IliketoPuck
This entire thread has weighed in on the impacts of marijuana, and utilized studies conducted from around the globe.
Choosing an arbitrary figure of 10 Million teenagers is not bogus in any way. If I was using that number as a representation of the Canadian population, then yes it would be inaccurate, but I wasn't, and clearly stated such.
So if you want a more accurate Canadian based estimate, here you go:
Per StatsCan 2011 census data:
Canadian population aged 10-24 = 6,285,940
Assuming 15% of population is a pot head = 6,285,940 * .15 = 942,891
Aggregate increase of incidence rate of mental illness = .042 -.007 = .035
942,891 * .035 = 33,001 aggregate increase in incidence of mental illness
33,001 * $150,000 = ~$5Bn lifetime aggregate medical burden increase.
So, just to break even on the social cost, the marijuana industry conservatively needs to generate $5Bn of tax revenue.
Without considering the impact or costs on families, employers, etc. etc. etc.
The world is your oyster, pot heads. Have at it.
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You only have a 10-15%% increase in usage among young people if you go buy the early Colorado data. which may or may not be valid. So if you want to overstate the effects say 1.5%-2.5% of your age sample would smoke marijuana who otherwise wouldn't. Worst case.
Then also factor in usage amounts required to cause mental illness as you seem to be assuming everyone who uses will use regularly when statistics ask have you used in past month to hit your 15% level.