[SuperMatt18]

Goalies are tough though because performance can fluctuate so much from year to year and small sample sizes can be deceiving.

Does Murray end up being Carey Price or does he end up being Steve Mason?

Jacob Markstrom had great AHL stats, put up good numbers in his first 30 or so NHL games, looked like a stud, and since then it took him 4 years to put it all back together.

Robin Lehner was hyped in a similar way. He had great NHL numbers at 21, and looked amazing in the AHL. Then he fell back to earth a little bit and is starting to figure it out in the NHL again now in Buffalo.

Jonathan Bernier had similar hype as well. Dominated the AHL as a 20 & 21 year old. Had great games as a back up in L.A. and was labeled the best young goalie in the NHL. He's had some success in Toronto but it's been very hit or miss overall and his game fell apart this year.

Lots of examples of goalies that are the best goalie prospect in the world at 21, and have instant success but then take a couple years to truly put it all together. Somebody else had mentioned that Murray only being 21 is a positive but IMO it might actually be a risk since the sample is so small.

Personally I'm only moving that 6th overall pick if a team is looking at trading a goalie who is more proven. Schneider was a good example of that. Already had 100 NHL games with a .927 save percentage, enough of a sample size there that a top 10 pick was worth it. Still way too much risk with guys like Murray or Pickard to be moving that good of a pick on a goalie.