Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperMatt18
Was kind of bored last night during that brutal game 7 and started doing some research on comparing the potential goalies available.
Looked at the past 3 seasons and compared their 5v5 save percentages.
Really with this graph you would want the goalie to be in the top right hand corner. The vertical axis looks at save percentage adjusted for the shot quality give up by the team, and horizontal axis is looking at the unadjusted save percentage
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Thanks for putting this together.
As you mentioned, you want a goalie towards top right, on the ice you want him as far right as possible.
When I see a chart like this, it would be nice to see a line with slope of 1, and then goalies that lie above / to the left show adjusted save percentage being better than actual, so basically penalized by poor team play.
I will add that I personally believe that the idea that sv% is the be all, end all indicator is flawed.
Also whenever people adjust for shot quality, the proxy that is usually used because it is all that is available is shot location, which does not account for situation. (Ex. Is the shot from 6 inches out being stuffed into a goalie's pad or is it a cross crease tap in. Example 2 - in the slot do you have Chris Pronger tying you up and beating the crap out of you or have the Oilers D given you a clear path to the net.)
There are so many examples from the past decade, Dubnyk in Edm vs Minnesota, Mike Smith in Phoenix, Kipper playing under Keenan vs Sutter, etc.
At any rate, I think that if you put Hitchcock or Tippett behind the Flames bench, Ramo slides up and right. As goalies like Pickard get a larger sample size, they will move down and left.
If Treliving does his job, and gets a coach that can make the team play proper defence, for a full season, whatever goalie he puts in place will look like an upgrade on this year.
So long story short I hope they don't over pay for a goalie like Reimer