Quote:
Originally Posted by HockeyIlliterate
And who would those "serious fiscal conservatives" instead vote for? Gary Johnson?
They most certainly aren't going to vote for Hillary---or, at least, they'd never publically admit to it.
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Actually there was a poll (I will try to find it and post a link if I can) that suggested around 13% of Cruz' primary voters intend to vote for Clinton in the fall now that it is clear Trump will be the nominee. That isn't a huge number (it's a subset of a subset) but given the polarization of politics in the US, it's frankly astonishing.
By contrast, I highly doubt very many Sanders supporters will vote for Trump. Sanders has broad support among younger voters, a demographic within which Trump is incredibly unpopular.
Trump's big challenge is not beating Clinton--she isn't an especially strong candidate. His challenge is to broaden his appeal beyond his base of uneducated white male voters. So far, even though he is the presumptive nominee, he has failed to do that. Unless he can get votes from Latinos and women, the demographic math just isn't there for him.
With that said, I've predicted his demise before and been wrong, so....