Thread: 2016 NHL Draft
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Old 04-25-2016, 08:35 PM   #2716
GranteedEV
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CliffFletcher View Post
This notion that there is no board is dumb. There is such a thing a collective wisdom. Consensus. Call it what you will. When you take the valuations of 100 people who know what they're talking about and come up with averaged valuations, it is usually going to be more accurate than the valuations of 1 person. Not always. But usually.
What happens when 90 of the 100 peoples' opinions are influenced by the suggestion of 10 of the 100 people? If those ten people (we'll call them, CSS Preliminary rankings) tell the other 90 people that Nail Yakupov is the next Ilya Kovalchuk, can those other 90 people effectively view the player through a transparent lens, or will there always be a rose tinting of "oh, hey, yeah, that play resembles Kovalchuk"?

With the preconditioning that Logan Brown is ranked 14th in CSS mid term rankings, you are not going into viewing Logan Brown under a lens of "let's see how he would look at 5th Overall" regardless of his ability in isolation, because you are biased by what you now associate with as being "consensus". You may see a player that you're thinking is the best player in a draft class, period, but doubt creeps in. Now how can you legitimately contribute back towards a consensus if you're biased by a ranking?

Quote:
If Columbus drafts 2nd overall and they take Dante Fabbro, Blue Jackets fans would have every reason to be nervous. Because even though the Jackets' scouting staff are highly-paid professionals, the idea that they see something that 29 other teams presumably don't see is unlikely.
The idea that 29 other teams don't see it is just an assumption.
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Last edited by GranteedEV; 04-25-2016 at 09:51 PM.
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