Quote:
Originally Posted by CliffFletcher
This notion that there is no board is dumb. There is such a thing a collective wisdom. Consensus. Call it what you will. When you take the valuations of 100 people who know what they're talking about and come up with averaged valuations, it is usually going to be more accurate than the valuations of 1 person. Not always. But usually.
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There is no board.
The top 3 this year are consensus (Matthews, Laine, Puljujarvi.) And the consensus disappears after that for the most part.
What happens if you had access to every team's list and then you realize that it is all over the place from 4th on and there isn't any consensus? Well that's this year. And most years are like that.
Why don't we look at 2012 to see the consensus?
-EDM had Ryan Murray rated 1st and chose Yakupov
-TOR had Morgan Rielly rated 1st
-CGY had Alex Galchenyuk rated 1st
Zero consensus. That is typical of the draft. Sometimes there is consensus at the very top of the draft (top 1-3 picks). That's about all there usually is for consensus and as we can see from the 2012 example, sometimes there isn't even consensus at the very top of the draft.