Quote:
Originally Posted by CliffFletcher
This notion that there is no board is dumb. There is such a thing a collective wisdom. Consensus. Call it what you will. When you take the valuations of 100 people who know what they're talking about and come up with averaged valuations, it is usually going to be more accurate than the valuations of 1 person. Not always. But usually.
If you go to a new city and want to try a BBQ restaurant, and you compare the ratings of 10 BBQ joints which each have over 100 ratings, it's a pretty safe bet the top two or three rated BBQ joints are going to be quite good, and the bottom two or three are going to be worse, even if some people do prefer them. And the projections of NHL scouts (and the eventual performance of hockey players) are a lot more accurate and objective than opinions on restaurants.
If Columbus drafts 2nd overall and they take Dante Fabbro, Blue Jackets fans would have every reason to be nervous. Because even though the Jackets' scouting staff are highly-paid professionals, the idea that they see something that 29 other teams presumably don't see is unlikely.
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There is also trouble in averages sometimes though because they don't always tell the whole story.
Say a guy is ranked 9th on 25 scouts lists, 10th on 50 lists, and 11th on the other 25 lists - then his average ranking would be ranked at number 10.
But maybe a guy bounces around the rankings a little more - and is 5th on 5 of the scouts lists, 7th on 20 of the scouts lists, 9th on 20 of the others, and 15th on the other 55 lists.
Then that players average ranking is 12th but is that player really worse then the guy ranked number 10? It's hard to say and averages can be deceiving in this case.