Quote:
Originally Posted by burnitdown
Sports Club Stats (main site everyone uses for playoff odds) - doesn't show exact dates on their graphs but basically a few days before the end of March is when they had ~5% odds of making the playoffs. So perhaps the 5% is after 8 games instead of 9 games to go. Either way, the point remains, they were pretty much out of it at the very start of that extended losing streak so it's a little unfair to point to Iginla failing the team.
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Eyeballing their graphs as closely as I could, I found that the time when they crossed 80 points is as far away from the end of the graph (regular season) as the time when they peaked with a 40% chance to make the playoffs. That would be when they had 9 games to go. After that, they fell off a cliff within a few days.
It doesn't stand to reason that a team actually
in a playoff position could have only a 5% chance to make the playoffs. And in fact, that isn't what the graph shows, either.