Here's my new (admittedly illogical) way of looking at it: Almost every time you run the simulation at least 1 of the lowest 3 teams fall from the top 3. (Maybe someone smarter than me can figure out how much that actually happens)
That being the case at least 1 team from outside the bottom 3 will likely move up.
Being 5th worst, we have the 2nd best chance of anyone to move up to the top 3...
So really we still have a very good (or decent) chance to move up...at least that's what I keep telling myself.
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