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Flames Draft Watcher · 04-08-2016, 12:28 AM

Thank the Gods the Jets won, gives us a decent chance of finishing 5th now.

Flames chance of finishing:
6th last: 25.2%
5th last: 67%
4th last: 7.7%

Basically if we win, we'd need the Jets to beat LA on Saturday
If we lose in OT I think we're good due to tiebreakers (not sure sportsclubstats is taking this into account properly so the odds may be slightly off). They think there's a 12% chance of finishing 6th if we lose in OT but WPG would have to lose by more than 5 goals more than we lose by if I'm correct.
If we lose in regulation we'd be guaranteed to finish bottom 5 with a 16% chance of finishing 4th.

04-08-2016, 12:28 AM	#151
Flames Draft Watcher In the Sin Bin Join Date: Oct 2001 Exp:	Thank the Gods the Jets won, gives us a decent chance of finishing 5th now. Flames chance of finishing: 6th last: 25.2% 5th last: 67% 4th last: 7.7% Basically if we win, we'd need the Jets to beat LA on Saturday If we lose in OT I think we're good due to tiebreakers (not sure sportsclubstats is taking this into account properly so the odds may be slightly off). They think there's a 12% chance of finishing 6th if we lose in OT but WPG would have to lose by more than 5 goals more than we lose by if I'm correct. If we lose in regulation we'd be guaranteed to finish bottom 5 with a 16% chance of finishing 4th.