Quote:
Originally Posted by the2bears
It's not so straight forward with the lottery, though. It's more like some chance of a higher draft position.
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Depends on the difference we're talking about. Check out
http://www.tankathon.com/nhl/pick_odds
Now compare 3rd last to 5th last.
-3rd has a 86.2% chance of drafting top 5
-5th has a 64.7% chance of NOT drafting top 5
Huge difference in expected outcomes for just 2 spots
Now compare 4th last to 6th last
-4th has a 92.6% chance of drafting top 6
-6th has a 58.9% chance of NOT drafting top 6
Huge difference in expected outcomes for just 2 spots
The Flames can finish anywhere between 3rd last and 6th last. Some people are downplaying how much your odds change of drafting top 5-6 if we lose the next two games vs not. It's a big difference