Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist
I'll be happy to see Ortio as back up next year, but this stretch hasn't increased my optimism much. A goalie is the sum of his work, not "we'll ignore this stuff because he wasn't playing well". What makes is think this Ortio is the real one?
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Without cherry-picking, Ortio's NHL stats the past two full seasons
Age 23 / 24
26 GP
.9081 SV%
.9106 Adjusted SV%
2.60 GAA (While GAA is "mostly" a team stat, things like rebound absorption do contribute past SV%)
These are average stats. Ortio hasn't been given sheltered opponents like some backups either, pretty much all of his starts have come with him getting runs of starts against pretty decent teams. I would argue that Hiller getting the run of sheltered starts the past two months has impacted Ortio's statistics negatively as he's missed out on chances to face the likes of Buffalo, Toronto, March-Montreal, etc.
If there
is only one game I
would like to cherry-pick out of Ortio's sample only because of the context, it would be the April 2015 game he played returning immediately from injury, playing behind an AHL defense in what was essentially an exhibition match against the Jets. If I'm allowed to take out that
one game (which wasn't even necessarily his worst or only poor game of the past two seasons - just the game he probably should not have played at all) his entire save percentage over a 25 game healthy sample would be 0.9128 and his AdjSV% better. That sample would still include many games where he's been lit up regardless of whether I blamed him or the team (@Anaheim, Montreal, Ottawa, Arizona, St. Louis, @LA).