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Originally Posted by HotHotHeat
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Parallex already nailed it but that 48 point lead poll is a clear outlier. Same poll had Trump up 52 and he's down to around 20 in that Quinnipiac poll. So that poll was either poorly done, or was not a reputable pollster. But she'll win New York by 10 points or more, and even if she only wins by 5 it's a devastating blow to his chances. Look at that list again, and rememeber
every single one of those results has to go exactly like that, and that only barely gets him past her. Even the slightest margin of error and he can't win. He basically needs to pitch the equivalent of 5 perfect games in a row, and if he allows even one hit out of 135 hitters he's a failure. Possible? Yes. Likely? Obviously not.