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Originally Posted by octothorp
but would probably also serve to show the Tea Party just how unpopular their politics are with the rest of the country, and result in a defeat so overwhelming that it pushes the Republican Party back towards the center a bit.
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How? Would the Tea Party set be less full of "Rabble! Rabble! Rabble!"? Because if they're not they'll just continue to launch primary challenges (or threaten to launch) against any republicans that don't meet their conservative litmas tests.
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Originally Posted by HotHotHeat
Can you comment on this article?
The entire piece is interesting, but this part specifically;
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I'd respond by saying that in regards to the bit about New York that there hasn't been a giant fall because the 48% Clinton lead poll was wildly out of sync with every other poll of the state. If you look at the weighted average Clinton has an 18 point lead which strikes me as the most likely outcome. I haven't seen any polling in Indiana so I can't comment on that and the last poll I heard about in West Virgina had Clinton leading, and I'm not at all surprised that Sanders has a large lead among university students in Kentucky... but that's a small portion of the population (that he usually does well among) so it really doesn't matter without the rest of the population included.
Sanders is done. If I can quote myself from page 247...
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Originally Posted by Parallex
I'll give everyone a preview of the next bit of the Democratic race... For the next three weeks the media will muse about whether there is a Sanders Surge happening (he'll win or effectively tie every contest between now and April 19), then NY will happen and she'll blow him out of the water and for a week they'll muse about whether she has it locked up or if it was just a home state thing, then on the 26 he'll fall further behind as a string of closed primaries further pad her lead. Then probably even delegate hauls until June 7 at which point the media will have no choice but to stop pretending that it's been a competitive race since the SEC Super-Tuesday Primaries.
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... I stand by that.