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Old 03-29-2016, 05:11 PM   #123
GranteedEV
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I posted this a while back:

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Originally Posted by GranteedEV View Post
If the cap is 70M, and you've got 23 players that means your average salary is around about 3M.

For a forward, that "average" is probably a player who's somewhere between a 3rd and 2nd liner. For a Dman, that's probably between a #5 and a #4. Mikael Backlund perhaps, who signed for 3.575 is a good example - There's a skew in his pay because centers tend to be worth more than wingers.

From a dollars perspective your big money should be tied up in:

2 centers
3 defensemen
~3 wingers
1 goalie

and then a third center that makes more than the other five bottom 6 players as well as a fourth defenseman in that same boat.

Let's say your goalie makes 5M a year.

Your top 3 D probably make about 20M a year. 8 for a #1, 6.5 for a #2, for a 5.5 for a #3

Your top 2 centers probably combine for 12M or so, though it can be higher.

Your top 3 wingers, let's assume they make 5.5x3 = 16.5.

That third center and fourth D combine for 7M if they're on Backlund-esque deals.

Okay, so where does that leave us? 60.5M in used cap space. We'll round that down to 60.

So 10M in cap space to pay:

1 backup goalie. - 1M?
3 more bottom D. - .7 (ELC) x 3
3 more top 9 wingers - 2.2 for a Bouma + 1.1 x 2
5 more bottom line forwards - .7 x 5

That puts you right at the cap.
How does that work out for the Flame? We have:
17.15M tied up in our top 3 D
I would reasonably expect Bennett+Monahan will make ~12.5M by the end of next season.
Gaudreau alone should makes 7.5M
Frolik makes 4.3M
We are desperately searching for one more true top 6 winger worth that salary. 6M is not an unrealistic pay.
Backlund makes 3.575M
We're looking for a #4D still. But we need to keep ~4M in room open for one as it's a huge part in roster construction.
We're also looking for a #1G still. But we need to keep ~5M open for that, again.

So where does that leave us in flexibility from my plan? 60.5 in cap that should be tied up in those important positions, and that alotment leaves us at ~60M. That's not a lot of wiggle room if you focus on filling out the areas of need ahead of the areas of luxury.

If the plan is to pay Colborne in the range of 2.2M or so, you have to get rid of Bouma to avoid overspending on the bottom of your roster.

You just can't keep banking on a rising cap, that's for sure.

Last edited by GranteedEV; 03-29-2016 at 05:17 PM.
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