Quote:
Originally Posted by Poe969
I think the idea of drafting in the top 10 is starting to become more and more slim. The Flames just don't have the same level of tank that a lot of other teams have and they're actually playing well. If they Flames drop out of the top 10, I'd seriously look at trading the pick like they did last year but it would have to be a great deal. I do love the idea of targeting one of Nichushkin or Hayes for the right wing. As much as the Flames need to get good prospects, they need good young players playing now and getting a lot of picks then trading them is a great way to help the team now.
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Combining sportsclubstats final standings probabilities with the draft lottery odds, there is about a 0.1% chance of the Flames drafting outside of the top 10. I even used sportsclubstat's 50/50 based calculation instead of the weighted one which would have put downward pressure on our expected final ranking (i.e. weighted would make us lose more often than 50/50 which makes the odds of winning each game a coin toss). That includes last night's results.