Quote:
Originally Posted by Fire of the Phoenix
This usually doesn't happen though. When it does, it's almost always for an established NHLer.
That was different, he wasn't a pending UFA. It was also unique in that I believe (obviously can't prove) that there was some degree of tampering going on there. It was just too convenient that Erixon happened to get dealt to his daddy's team. NYR also didn't want to run the risk of not getting to draft Erixon if he re-entered the draft. It's hard to compare the Erixon situation to anything really. It's a better comparable to the Lindros trade than any pending UFA college player situation.
When you say 'more than a 2nd', how much more could he realistically get in your eyes? He's definitely not worth a 1st, that's the price for established NHLers or blue chippers. Are you thinking 2nd+4th/C prospect or something? I mean, I guess it's possible, I just wouldn't bet on it is all.
I think the Flames are either going to sign the player or get the compensation. I would be shocked if this went down any other way.
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It won't be much more than the 51st in 2017, but it can't be less. The Flames would let him walk in that circumstance.
It is all about the value proposition for each team: The Flames presumably value him more than the 51st. At least one other team need to value him more than the 51st. In that case, the small extra is likely worth the exclusive negotiating window. Not a certainty by any means, but the 51st is the floor.