Quote:
Originally Posted by Fire of the Phoenix
If he chooses not to sign, I honestly think the chances he is dealt are around 0%. Why would another team trade for his rights when they could just try to sign him for free in August? If this was a Connor/Gaudreau level prospect I could see it, but I'm not sure other teams will be eager to give up an asset for a prospect like Jankowski.
Another team also won't been keen to trade a better asset than 51st overall for Jankowski IMO. They run the risk of losing Jankowski for the 51st overall, but trading a better asset for the opportunity. It doesn't really make sense.
Also, why would Treliving bother? He knows he gets the 51st overall pick already. If he trades him for another 2nd instead, he risks it being a worse 2nd. There's just no incentive either way IMO. Actually, now that I'm thinking about it, when was the last time a pending UFA college player was traded? I can't think of one off the top of my head.
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Why would a team EVER trade for an UFA's rights before July 1st when they could sign him for free on July 1st? To get the exclusive negotiating window. And in that case they get nothing if he doesn't sign. In Jankowski's case they'd get a 2nd. So his value is at least a 2nd.
Why did the Rangers trade two 2nds and a prospect for a guy (Tim Erixon) that would've just re-entered the draft if they didn't sign him? Pretty risky right? They were getting nothing if he didn't sign.
All the Flames have to do is tell Jankowski's agent he can talk to every team. Then they find a team they like and Treliving demands more than a 2nd. There you go.