Quote:
Originally Posted by blueski
The thing I find interesting about this thread is that there is very little doubt that AI will compete with and even replace a lot of functions we do. Even a year ago, I'd bet half the thread would have found this idea ludicrous.
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I did a quick search to see how long people thought it would take an AI to win at Go after Deep Blue defeated Kasparov. Deep Blue won in 1997 (it won its first chess game against Kasparov the year before). I thought I remember reading 50-100 years. However, this
article from 2007 said Go would be won within a decade. That's pretty prescient.
I think AI taking over practical applications really became more mainstream with Google's self-driving car experiments. That level of complexity and unpredictability was thought to be beyond AI. But as people saw the reality of a self-driving car (albeit in good, California conditions), I think they could see that not only had AI advanced, but maybe more importantly, that people, in common tasks, are more or less pattern matching machines. See car on left changing lanes, give it room. See unpredictable cyclist, slow down. Red light, stop.