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Old 03-23-2016, 06:08 AM   #4933
Caged Great
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Hillary getting trounced in the two states resulted in her giving up 5 whole delegates to Sanders.

Committed

Hillary - 1214
Bernie - 901

Supers

Hillary - 467
Bernie - 26

Total

Hillary - 1681 (702 Needed)
Bernie - 927 (1456 Needed)

There are just over 2100 delegates remaining to be awarded.

Of the next 5 states, Hillary is going to likely pick up 90-100 of the 242. After that though, there's 5 consecutive closed primaries that Hillary will likely sweep with only CT possibly going Bernie's way (NY, Delaware, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, and Maryland). Those ones have 607 delegates and she's likely to get 375-400 of them, maybe more depending on how much she wins NY by because polling there has her up by almost 50 points which would net her close to 200 of the 247 delegates.

If she gets 450-500 of the next 850 delegates, which is possible, then it is actually 100% over and done. If she only manages a split of 425 a piece or worse, then it'll be a race to the finish line.

After those states, only Rhode Island, Guam, West Virginia, Kentucky, Oregon, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, California, Montana, NJ, New Mexico, the Dakotas, and DC go.
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