[Senator Clay Davis]

People seem to be forgetting things about polling numbers this early, and especially how it relates to how much people even know about them. I feel pretty confident in saying Bernie is the cleanest candidate I've ever seen run for President in terms of no one really knows much about him or his history. His background has been examined very little, and the same applies here for Cruz and Kasich. So their numbers now are closer to their ceiling than their floor, and their floor could be pretty far (Cruz and Bernie in particular).

The advantage Trump and especially Hillary have is most people know them so well they long ago made up their mind on them. So their polling numbers are closer to their floor than their ceiling. Bernie and Kasich and Cruz still have go through the billion dollar negative campaign ride, and all will see a lot of drop in their approvals. Hillary and Trump have been there, done that so there's not much worse either can do, and both can probably only go up.