[formulate]

Originally Posted by polak

Curious, people always warn people about "writing off prospects early" but honestly, how often does a grade A, blue chip prospect like Drouin stumble hard out of the gate and then end up living up to their draft day potential?

Seems like prospects that live up to their hype:
- Explode right off the bat and are immediately a force
- Start off well and take big steps in their first couple years

Do you often see players stumbling out of the gate for more than a season or two and then all of the sudden become that elite talent they were supposed to be?

Seems like the Sven Baertschi route is far more common for top prospects players who dont start of their career well. IE fail to live up to the hype, pressure starts mounting to perform, expectations lowered, either finds new diminished role or doesn't make the NHL.

Ryan Johansen
Kyle Turris
Adam Larsson
Nino Niederreiter

To various extents.