Quote:
Originally Posted by octothorp
It depends on the narrative, which in turn depends on the actual delegate counts. If he's winning by enough margins that the media starts talking about him realistically catching up to Hillary, maybe. But if he's winning these states by one or two delegates, then the number of wins won't really matter, and I think the narrative will be 'too little, too late,' rather than momentum.
I also think Trump will start to focus more on Hillary, Hillary will focus more on Trump, and those two will get the vast majority of headlines as a result, and Sanders would need some really huge wins to change the presumptive nominees narrative.
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Thanks!
Yeah, I agree. Sanders needs big wins both from a delegate point of view and so that he stays in the media spotlight.
He needs to set himself up so that a big win in California on June 7th can catapult him past Hillary in delegates.
This is a very interesting race. Should be intriguing to watch it continue to unfold.
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On the Republican side of things... Trump needs to win some of the big prize winner-take-all states like Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Indiana.
And once again it will come down to California. California is winner-take-all for the the Republicans and 172 delegates. It could well be the key for Trump winning the nomination. Similarly, on the flip side, it is key for the "anti-trump" movement to stop him from winning California.
I'm kind of horrified that Trump could become president in 8 months or so... but I remain confident that he will lose to either of the Democrat possibilities.