Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
The fascinating thing about a brokered convention is where the line is really drawn. Like I know you need 1237, but are they actually going to go against voters wishes if he has say 1100? How about 1050 or 1000? I don't have a clue where the line would be, but at some point you have to think that going against the results of the primaries just causes problems. Here they have elected a guy with a very clear plurality and the establishment just doesn't want him, but there's a risk in just doing whatever you want anyway, right?
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Yeah, it would be fascinating. Especially because it doesn't take a lot of dissenters to create absolute chaos. Maybe he goes into the convention with 1200, and just needs 37 to win outright. But he's counting on at least some fiercely, proudly independent unbound delegates from states like Wyoming, North Dakota and such, who aren't going to do what anyone, Trump or establishment tells them. And maybe a few other unbound establishment delegates say 'okay, I'm just going to sit the first round out and see what happens, I'll probably come around to Trump in the second round.' And then in the second round, 'okay, let's just vote for Trump and end this,' but a bunch more people say, 'hey, I did my duty and voted for Trump in the first round, nobody can make me keep voting for him.' Pretty soon it takes on a life of its own. Creating consensus becomes a bit like herding cats.