Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
Ok...how? When he needs to win independents 71-28 to barely win Michigan, and he can't rely on those votes in a closed primary....good luck. There simply isn't enough support for him unless he makes serious inroads with minorities and registered Dems. Considering next week's closed primary in Florida has him down 72-18 with non-white voters in polls....yeah. He's going to lose those primaries, the only question is by how much. He can't afford any losses at all though, so even 10 point losses hurt a lot. But losing by 2-3 points could prop him up, I guess. Still makes it virtually impossible to have more delegates going into a convention.
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I think he carries momentum from the midwest into the east coast primaries. New York has a demographic that I expect will support Bernie and I think Connecticut will vote similar to Mass., New Hamshire and Vermont.