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GranteedEV · 03-11-2016, 10:12 AM

The FLames are 28-34-5 with 15 games left.

If the law of averages applies to those final 15 games, they would go around 6-8-1 to close out the year. That leaves a final record of 34-42-6 and they finish the year with 74 points. That would be a worse season than 2013-14 when they had 77 points.

In order to finish with 78 points, they'd like to go 7-5-3 for a final record of 35-39-8 so that at the very least, this season isn't the worst of the rebuild, because it should not be.

If they get really hot, and somehow go 9-3-3 in those final games, they finish the year 37-37-8 with 82 points for a .500 point %. It's not the most lofty goal in the world for a bad team, but at the very least it'd be an indicator that a few more bounces and they can be in the thick of things next year.

If they continue playing at the points percentage they've played the last three games, they could finish the year 11-0-3. That would leave them at 86 points. Now we're into "bubble team" finish territory.

All that said - they need to go at least 14-1-0 in those final fifteen games to finish the year with a .500 win percentage.

A perfect 15-0-0 finish is the only way they can finish over .500

03-11-2016, 10:12 AM	#47
GranteedEV Franchise Player Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: Calgary Exp:	The FLames are 28-34-5 with 15 games left. If the law of averages applies to those final 15 games, they would go around 6-8-1 to close out the year. That leaves a final record of 34-42-6 and they finish the year with 74 points. That would be a worse season than 2013-14 when they had 77 points. In order to finish with 78 points, they'd like to go 7-5-3 for a final record of 35-39-8 so that at the very least, this season isn't the worst of the rebuild, because it should not be. If they get really hot, and somehow go 9-3-3 in those final games, they finish the year 37-37-8 with 82 points for a .500 point %. It's not the most lofty goal in the world for a bad team, but at the very least it'd be an indicator that a few more bounces and they can be in the thick of things next year. If they continue playing at the points percentage they've played the last three games, they could finish the year 11-0-3. That would leave them at 86 points. Now we're into "bubble team" finish territory. All that said - they need to go at least 14-1-0 in those final fifteen games to finish the year with a .500 win percentage. A perfect 15-0-0 finish is the only way they can finish over .500 Last edited by GranteedEV; 03-11-2016 at 10:20 AM.