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Old 03-09-2016, 01:21 PM   #4459
Parallex
I believe in the Jays.
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis View Post
Well the establishment path to a contested convention starts with winning Ohio. So my only guess is they've gone all in with Kasich to win Ohio to block Trump.
There's that... there's also the fact that should Rubio fail in Florida (but Kasich succeed in Ohio) they'll still be a "not Trump or Cruz" candidate for mainstream republicans to rally around (since I don't figure either of them stick around if they don't win their home state). There's no point in either Rubio or Kasich dropping out until the Ides of March.

Amusingly, I think Trumps best outcome is to win either both or neither. If he wins both then he's effectively either the presumptive nominee or has a yuge delegate lead, if he wins neither then at least the field remains highly divided allowing him to take some winner-take-all states with a simple plurality. Winning one but not both winnows the field making it harder for him to win later and while it pads his lead not to the same almost overwhelming degree.
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