Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay Random
This is why you fail to see it.
It isn't about predicting a player's numbers in his rookie year. It's about making stats comparable between feeder leagues.
Is an 80-point season in the OHL better or worse than 40 points on an NCAA Div 1 team? Is a 22-year-old with 40 points in the AHL more or less likely to be NHL-ready than a 22-year-old with 30 points in Sweden? These are the kinds of questions NHLe is supposed to help you answer.
Incidentally, there is no theoretical model. It's just a matter of adding up all the point production of all the players who graduated from league X to the NHL, both their last year in league X and their first year in the NHL, and calculating the ratio between them. Nothing sophisticated about it, but it helps you gauge roughly how many firkins equal one hogshead.
|
No, it's just that all of that is redundant and if taken too seriously actually obfuscates one's view of the players since we already have so much information about any individual player. I know the methodology. I can call it a model, you can call it something else.
To me it's doesn't add any new information and there are dangers in that because it adds extra steps of methodology that have to be interpreted as well.