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Old 03-07-2016, 11:49 PM   #61
driveway
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GioforPM View Post
That pick wouldn't be a lottery pick though. With a goalie holding. .917 over the season, the Flames are in the POs.
If the Flames had a team save percentage of .917 we'd be tied for the 10th best save percentage in the league. We'd have the 7th best defence in the league, having allowed only 160 instead of 205 goals and our goal +/- would be +16.

This would be a better +/- than Pittsburgh, St. Louis, Anaheim, Nashville, and Minnesota and we should absolutely expect to be in a playoff position.

Now if we're talking about a goalie with a .917 as opposed to a team's overall it starts to depend on the backup. Jones has played 55 games for the Sharks, leaving 11 games for our backup to play - assume Ramo's .909 as our backup's numbers and you get basically the same outcome. Jones would have faced 1611 shots this year, Ramo 322. Jones' .917 would result in 133 GA, Ramo's .909 would result in 29 GA for a total of 162 GA.

Hoever, if Hiller (god I hate Hiller) was our backup, his .883 SV% turns those 322 shots into 38 GA instead of 29 and our goal +/- would drop to 5 and we'd likely end up a bubble team.

So, the long and short of it is, having a number one goalie posting a .917 who we could ride for most of the season would totally get the Flames up into the playoff picture at the very least. Having even below-average backup goaltending would keep us there. Having the travesty that is Hiller as a backup would flop us out.

Now, of course, the argument about save percentage as a team stat as opposed to a goalie stat is a good one. But the point is fair, a .917 number one goalie who could start 80+ percent of our games would be huge for this team.

Worth mentioning: Ortio's save percentage since 2/23 is .914.
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