Quote:
Originally Posted by Weitz
As someone who is interested in the race, but has no interest in learning the American Electoral system, when should I actually tune in?
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Well, are you interested because you want to follow what's important, or because you want to be entertained?
There's a chance that we get a once-in-a-lifetime spectacle of an absolutely bloody Republican convention in July. If that's happening, you don't want to miss it. A lot of it is going to come down to all these arcane rules, but I don't think you need to know (or care) about the rules to appreciate the drama of it.
There's also a lot of potential ripple effects here, like well-funded independent or third party candidates, the ongoing Clinton email server investigation, the Trump University lawsuits, the supreme court justice appointment, prominent party-member or ally defections. And for the most part, we don't know when (or even if) any of these other events are going to happen or come to light.
I'd say that a lot of what happens between now and July is going to be delegate math. Republican convention onward is where we're going to start to get an idea of where the parties are positioned and how they're going to refine and shape their positions to appeal to the electorate.