There's also some fantastic work done at 538 which looks at the demographics of the upcoming states and projects what the results should be if Sanders had 50% popularity of all Americans. A level he would need to get the nomination. So far he has been underperforming in all states.
Trump's a little more interesting as his support seems to be capped at less than 50%. So he needs to keep Rubio and Cruz in the race until after the March 15th winner take all primaries.
Also if Cruz and Rubio are willing to go to the convention floor and trump is still sub 40 you could have a brokered convention without destroying the party as Trump wouldn't have a clear mandate from Voters if the numbers are something like 40%, 30%, 25%, 5%. It really comes down to how much do the republican establishment want to risk to stop Trump and can they stomach Cruz being the nominee.
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