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Originally Posted by Jay Random
Fine. Then let's not talk as if possession were an end in itself.
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Let's not talk as if making the playoffs once were an end in itself. That would imply the Flames rebuild ended last year.
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And let's not talk as if all shots on goal were of equal value
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And no one did.
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And for the love of all that goes on skates, let's not talk as if Corsi or Fenwick actually measured possession. They don't.
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They don't need to. They correlate to consistent playoff teams that don't rely on all-world goaltending.
Back to my criteria
> 50% score-adjusted Corsi
> 50% scored-adjusted Fenwick
> 20th ranked PP
Here are the teams that satisfy those three criteria:
CHI (51.4 / 50.8 / 2nd)
NYI (50.9 / 50.9 / 12th)
WAS (51.6 / 51.6 / 1st)
PIT (51.8 / 51.9 / 16th)
STL (51.7 / 52.0 / 8th)
MTL (52.5 / 52.2 / 19th)
SJS (51.3 / 52.6 / 3rd)
DAL (53.6 / 53.0 / 6th)
NSH (52.9 / 54.0 / 10th)
ANA (53.6 / 54.2 / 4th)
LAK ( 56.7 / 56.1 / 5th)
Which of those teams is rebuilding?
Answer: None. All of them are teams looking to plug in their roster well enough to contend for a cup. There are a pair (NSH / MTL) that have had major goaltending issues, but goaltending is something you fill without being using being a rebuilding team as an excuse. Bold, btw, are playoff teams. THat's 10 of 11. And the Habs were 1st in the league before Price went down.
The end goal isn't a stat. But when there are stats highly correllated with being a good playoff team, you have to fulfill those baseline criteria before you can start tweaking.