Quote:
Originally Posted by afc wimbledon
I'd probably have more faith in a model that relies on primary results if all the primaries had actually been held instead of the four(?) out of fifty one we've had so far.
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To be fair his model has been correct 96% of the time (25/26). So it could be flawed for sure, but his overall accuracy with the model is pretty good.
Quote:
Originally Posted by CaramonLS
Every poll has shown Bernie crushes Trump in the general.
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It's February and Bernie has more or less skated so far when it comes to being harshly attacked. Once that starts I think he's in trouble. His polling numbers outside of young people (obviously the least reliable voting block there is) are not that great either. Plus there's that fact he's gonna struggle to win more than 10 more states between now and the Dem convention. He's still very unlikely to be the nominee.