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Old 02-25-2016, 10:53 AM   #3825
octothorp
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Quote:
Originally Posted by peter12 View Post
Latest Quinnipiac poll shows Trump leading Rubio in Florida by 16 points (44-28). He is also substantially improving his likability factor as 21% of Florida voters saying they would not support Trump, compared to 26% saying the same for Cruz.

GOP women voters appear to go to Trump as well, 39-31 (over Rubio).

More cold water on those saying Trump has a high floor, low ceiling, and will fizzle in the long run. Trump is showing that he can adapt to increase his widespread appeal. It is just Republican's now, but his adaptability, and subsequent increasing popularity among special groups, will be an important factor heading into a Presidential election.

Stop counting out Trump because you don't agree with him.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-e...ReleaseID=2327
Great poll for Trump, no question. Winning Florida would be a great coup for him and would need Rubio to make some major upsets elsewhere.

However, it would be a mistake to take a poll of likely primary voters in a state that limits primary voting to registered Republicans, and use that as proof of him increasing his widespread appeal. He's been steadily improving favorability scores with Republicans, and decreasing them with independents and Democrats, and this poll does nothing to change that narrative.

As well, there's going to be a 'talking themselves into it' phase for Republicans as they become resigned to Trump as their nominee. And it'll happen with the Democrats and Clinton; when it becomes clear Sanders has no chance, then the pro-Sanders element of the party will decide to that Clinton actually isn't so bad and her favorability scores amongst Democrats will increase.
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