Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
I don't see him losing any of the states Romney won in 2012 any except maybe Missouri. Everything else is pretty much 100% safe GOP territory regardless of the nominee. So I just think he doesn't have anywhere near as much work to do as people think. If he invests heavily in simply trying to flip Ohio (should be easy to do), Michigan (doable) and Florida (very doable), he's President. The fact he polls poorly with Hispanics and other non-whites can only really hurt him in Florida. But then maybe he flips Pennsylvania instead and he still wins. It's not as hard for him to win as people think.
Kasich doesn't appeal to anyone but white, Midwest voters. The fact he's the most sane candidate doesn't mean he's the most electable. Rubio is easily their most electable candidate.
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No, I think you are underestimating the size of the Latino vote in places like Colorado. Even Michigan has a significant Latino population.
Plus, Trump really can't win Florida without the Latino vote. Bush had significant support among Cuban-Americans, and STILL only won Florida by a few hundred votes.
I'm interested in seeing how you think the electoral math works for Trump. I am just not seeing it.