Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
I agree that national head-to-head polls are irrelevant right now, but don't agree that the electoral math is favourable for Trump. He does very poorly among non-white and Latino voters, and if turnout on the right drops he will be in big trouble in some of the key Obama swing states. He can win Ohio, and still lose if he can't pick up Florida, Nevada, Colorado, etc..
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I don't see him losing any of the states Romney won in 2012 any except maybe Missouri. Everything else is pretty much 100% safe GOP territory regardless of the nominee. So I just think he doesn't have anywhere near as much work to do as people think. If he invests heavily in simply trying to flip Ohio (should be easy to do), Michigan (doable) and Florida (very doable), he's President. The fact he polls poorly with Hispanics and other non-whites can only really hurt him in Florida. But then maybe he flips Pennsylvania instead and he still wins. It's not as hard for him to win as people think.
Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
Kasich is their most electable candidate by a mile. If it's Kasich / Hillary, dem turnout is low, and Kasich wins the majority of independents. He wins Ohio easily and in my view has a strong chance at getting Pennsylvania. Even if GOP turnout is depressed, he still wins.
He'll never be nominated, obviously.
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Kasich doesn't appeal to anyone but white, Midwest voters. The fact he's the
most sane candidate doesn't mean he's the most electable. Rubio is easily their most electable candidate.